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The
Wind Turbine Market in Denmark
by
Soren Krohn
Managing Director, Danish Wind Turbine Manufacturers Association
Wind
Resources
Denmark has relatively modest to good average wind speeds in
the range of 4.9 to 5.6 m/s measured at 10 m height (with a Weibull
form factor of 1.74), equivalent to typically 6.5 m/s at a wind
turbine hub height of 50 m. (The highest average wind speed at
hub height onshore is about 7.5 m/s). Onshore wind resources
are highest in the Western part of the country, and on the Eastern
islands with coastlines facing South or West. [1]
The
country has very large offshore wind resources, and large areas
of sea territory (and economic zones) with a shallow water depth
of 5 to 15 m, where siting is most feasible. These sites offer
higher wind speeds, in the range of roughly 8.5 to 9 m/s at 50
m height. [2]
Wind
Generation Structure
Wind development in Denmark is spread geographically throughout
the country, although with higher concentration in the windiest
areas noted above. [3]
Single
wind turbines or, increasingly, clusters of turbines are the
most common siting method. There are comparatively few large
wind parks. The reason for this is partly the planning policy
preferences (generally against large parks, and favouring clusters),
[4] and the Danish ownership restrictions which effectively (though
not intentionally) encourage single turbine siting. [5]
80
per cent of Danish wind power capacity is owned by individuals
or wind co-operatives. The rest is owned by power companies.
[6]
Renewable
Energy Policy for Wind
Denmark, which in the early 1970s was extremely dependent on
(imported) oil, pursued a very active policy of energy savings,
increasing self sufficiency, and diversification of energy sources
until the mid 1980s. Since then, energy policy has increasingly
promoted the use of renewable energy to ensure environmentally
sustainable economic development. [7]
Long
term planning is considered to be important, with a planning
horizon presently set at the year 2030 in the Government policy
document "Energy 21". [8] The reason for this very
long term planning is to ensure consistency in policy, and to
send strong signals to market actors about the policy scenario
in which they will operate. In the electricity sector, plant
and equipment have long lifetimes (e.g transformers, transmission
systems and generating plant). One important aspect of present
planning is to ensure that the future electricity system will
be able to accommodate a very large share of intermittent renewables.
Since
the mid 1980s, the country has had an official goal of meeting
10 per cent of Danish electricity consumption by wind in the
year 2005, implying an installed base of 1,500 MW of installed
wind capacity. [9]
It
now seems likely that the target will be reached by the year
2000, and new ambitious Government plans in the "Energy
21" policy document indicate that around 50 per cent of
electricity consumption should be covered by wind by 2030, most
of the remainder through new offshore wind turbine installations.
The
Energy Policy Role of Power Companies
The Danish Government has very wide ranging powers to regulate
utilities. Regulation takes many forms, including energy efficiency
and demand-side management (DSM) measures. Integrated Resource
Planning (IRP) is an integral part of the procedure through which
power companies obtain permission to install new generating capacity.
Other measures include price and accountancy controls .
The
Government has ordered the utilities to install 400 MW of wind
power on land to date. The first two orders of 100 MW each were
issued in 1985 and 1990. The latest onshore order for 200 MW
to be completed before the year 2000 was issued in 1996. In 1998
a new order was issued for 750 MW of offshore wind power.
Wind
turbine orders from power companies are filled by competitive
public tendering. Formerly the tenders were based on power companies
doing an extensive part of site prospecting, installation, and
servicing work. Lately, turnkey contracts with manufacturers
have become the rule, since they are expected to be significantly
less expensive for the power companies.
The
use of turnkey tendering makes the process more similar to the
NFFO or SRO system used in the UK than what is generally realised.
Power
Companies' Ownership of Wind Power
Danish utilities are mostly nonprofit co-operatives owned by
the electricity consumers in each area, although some municipalities
in the larger cities are the owners of distribution companies.
Ownership of distribution companies cannot be traded, but is
implicitly held by the property owners who consume electricity.
Governing boards are elected locally. The distribution companies
jointly own transmission and generating companies.
The
many local power companies operate an internal sharing arrangement
for their wind energy deployment, which means that they effectively
pool their wind energy investments to ensure that wind energy
is deployed primarily in good, windy areas.
Attitudes
to Wind Energy in Power Companies
Danish development of wind power could probably have been carried
through with private (non-power company) investment only, like
in Germany. The primary advantage of power company participation
from a political point of view has been to ensure that expertise
and renewable energy commitment within power companies has been
much larger than what would otherwise have been the case. Until
recently, however, there was a dividing line between an overall
positive attitude at the technical level, dealing with practical
wind power implementation, and a more reserved attitude at the
political level of utility boards, basically resenting cost and
tariff increases due to (costlier) renewables.
The
improving economics of wind energy has changed this: Power companies
today realise that wind is the cheapest option for meeting the
(legal) environmental requirements for power companies, the objectives
of which are likely to remain on the political agenda for the
foreseeable future. In this situation, the power companies have
urged that the Government leave wind development to power companies
only, since with the present energy tax refund system, it is
far cheaper for power companies to produce their own wind power
than to buy it from independent generators. The average cost
for power companies' own wind generation is around 0.28 - 0.34
DKK/kWh (0.04 USD/kWh). But since they get a CO2 tax refund of
0.10 DKK/kWh, their generating cost is really 0.18 - 0.24
DKK/kWh. versus 0.30 to 0.37 DKK/kWh (0.05 USD/kWh) for energy
purchased from independents. [11]
It
should be realised however, that these power company costs are
quoted on the basis of a 5 to 6 per cent real rate of interest,
and a 20 year project lifetime, and that the costs do not include
grid reinforcement. It should also be noted, that Danish infrastructure
is characterised by a strong electrical grid, and widespread
local expertise in installation and planning. The extensive 20
year experience with wind energy is indeed reflected in lower
installation costs than elsewhere in Europe. [12]
The
strengthened commitment of Danish power companies to wind energy
can be seen in their eagerness to develop the first 750 MW of
offshore wind power, where applications for planning permission
were launched even before the actual Government order was issued.
Public
Service Obligations
The European Union directive on the liberalisation of electricity
markets allow member countries to impose a "public service
obligation" (PSO) on electricity suppliers, which are allowed
to shift the cost burden onto consumers. The obligations may,
for example, be related to ensuring universal service to all
consumers in a region at the same tariff , meeting obligations
in relation to environmental policy, or funding research.
In
regard to renewables, the Danish legislation ensures that all
electricity consumers effectively have to share the excess cost,
if any, of using renewables in the electricity system, in order
to avoid distortion of competition between suppliers. In practice
this means that electricity generated using renewables, or all
forms of combined heat and power production (CHP) has a priority
access to the grid.
Municipal
Planning
The policy of installing 1,500 MW onshore in Denmark has been
considered a challenge for municipal and regional planning, given
the country's high population density . For the past few years
Danish municipalities have been required by a planning directive
from the national Government to make plans for wind turbine siting.
[13]
Although
no specific quotas were set by the national Government, most
regions (counties) have required municipalities with good wind
resources to provide suitable sites for turbines. After the recent
round of planning with extensive hearing procedures for local
residents, sites for more than 2,600 MW have been made available.
[14]
The
Danish system has inspired a similar system which is being implemented
in Northern Germany. [15]
Advanced
Wind Resource Mapping
To assist municipalities carrying out planning for wind turbines,
a national wind map based on rough manually prepared estimates
was made available in 1991. [16]
A
new and much more advanced method is being employed in 1997-98:
Using the European Wind Atlas Method (WAsP) developed by Risoe
National Laboratory, software from the leading commercial wind
software vendor Energy & Environmental Data, and detailed
digital maps, a very detailed, automated analysis of the entire
country (divided into cells of 100 by 100 metres, with automatic
assessments of terrain roughness out to 20 km distance) is being
prepared.
The
system already includes an exact mapping of all 4,800 wind turbines
in the country, and the results will be calibrated by production
data from more than 1,500 wind turbines reporting to the monthly
statistics system run by the software vendor for the Danish Wind
Turbine Owners' Association.
Market
Development Schemes
In the beginning of the 1980s the Danish Government instituted
a number of successive market development schemes, originally
funding 30 per cent of investments in new wind turbines, but
gradually lowering this support until it was abandoned in 1989
(it was 10 per cent by then). [17]
Pricing
of Wind Energy from Independent Power Producers
Power companies are by law required to pay for electricity from
privately owned wind turbines at the rate of 85 per cent of the
local, average retail price for a household with a (high) annual
consumption of 20,000 kWh (effectively allowing a gross 17.6%
markup on sales of electricity from this source). [5] (The reason
for the 20,000 kWh rule is that electricity prices in most areas
include rental fees for meters, but the tariff structure varies
with the local distribution company).
The
electricity price paid by power companies for wind energy from
privately owned wind turbines varies between 0.25 and 0.35 DKK/kWh
(0.036 to 0.05 USD/kWh), reflecting the varying prices of electricity
from different local distribution companies.
The
price is not substantially different from what would have been
obtained under the time tariff system applied to other independent
power producers. Under that system the generator is paid different
rates, depending on whether deliveries are made during peak,
medium load or low load hours. Since wind energy production in
Northern Europe tends to be highly correlated with demand (more
wind at day than at night, much more wind in winter than in summer),
wind is actually some 40 per cent more valuable in the grid,
than if production were purely random. [19]Originally the pricing
arrangement was negotiated between the Danish Wind Turbine Owners'
Association and the Association of Danish Power Companies. In
1992 the power companies terminated the agreement, and subsequent
negotiations with the turbine owners failed to reach a compromise.
After this, the Government and Parliament intervened and made
a general law on renewable energy, including a purchasing obligation
with the tariff mentioned above.
Partial
Refund of CO2 and Energy Tax
Households in Denmark pay very high electricity prices, even
though Denmark has some of Europe's lowest generating costs for
thermal plant. The reason is an extremely high indirect taxation
of electricity, as shown in the graph above. [20] The political
reasoning behind the high taxation is to reduce pollution emissions
and encourage energy savings. (The fiscal motive plays a role
as well, of course: "Green" taxes are less resented
by voters than other taxes).
The
electricity tax is collected on all electricity sold to households,
service businesses etc. Only manufacturing industry is to a certain
extent exempt from this taxation.
Electricity
from renewable sources gets a refund of the 0.10 DKK/kWh (0.014
USD/kWh) CO2-tax [5]. This refund is paid regardless of whether
the generating equipment is owned by power companies, firms or
households. This particular tax is called the CO2 tax. (The labelling
of different electricity taxes is historically somewhat random,
depending on whether the originally declared political aim was
environmental or fiscal).
Special
Rules for Private (Individual or Co-operative) Owners
Wind turbines owned by non-power companies, i.e. other firms,
individuals or co-operatives, in addition get a refund of 0.17
DKK/kWh (0.024 USD/kWh) of electricity tax. [5] The size of the
refund has been set to ensure a reasonable profit for wind turbine
owners, given existing tax regulations. On the other hand, there
is currently some political concern that the profitability of
wind energy is "too high" on the very best sites. [21]
Some future adjustment, primarily concerning these sites cannot
be excluded.
Total
remuneration for private (non-power company) wind turbine owners
varies between some 0.5 and 0.62 DKK/kWh (0.071 to 0.089 USD/kWh).
The
basic reason for treating power companies and other turbine owners
differently, is that power companies in Denmark are tax free,
provided that they do not make a profit. (Generous accounting
rules allow power companies advance depreciation, which effectively
ensures, that they are tax free, "non profit" institutions.
They are allowed to collect investment financing in their tariffs,
before investments are actually made, thus obviating the need
for shareholders or other external sources of finance).
Grid
Connection, Grid Reinforcement
According to the Executive Order on Grid Connection of Wind Turbines
of 1996[5], local power distribution companies are obliged
to provide grid connection facilities at any site which in
municipal planning has been set aside for the development of
at least 1.5 MW of wind power (rated generator power).
In
other cases, power companies are obliged to allow grid access
to the local 11-20 kV grid, but the turbine owner is responsible
for paying for the extension of the grid to reach the site in
question. The power company has to pay for the entire grid extension,
however, if the cabling can be used for other purposes in the
normal extension of its grid facilities.
The
necessary reinforcement of the grid is paid for by the power
company, unless the power company can prove that the reinforcement
in the area is particularly uneconomic. The Danish Energy Agency
(part of the Ministry of Energy and the Environment) is the authority
to whom prospective turbine owners may appeal power company decisions
on these matters.
Wind
turbine owners have to pay for the transformer to connect to
the 11 kV grid. In addition a fee for rental of electricity meters
apply. (Reactive power consumption is not charged, but turbines
generally have to observe a certain phase angle[27])
Tax
Treatment of Wind Turbine Investments
Wind turbines are treated like machinery in industry, i.e. a
declining balance 30% annual depreciation is allowed.
Wind
turbine owners may alternatively (once and forever) opt for a
simplified tax system, being taxed on 60% of gross revenues from
electricity sales exceeding 3,000 DKK/year (450 USD/year) without
any depreciation allowance or any deduction of other costs. This
means that people who only own a few shares in a wind turbine
co-operative are not taxed on their wind turbine income.
Value
Added Tax (VAT) Scheme
Contrary to what is stated a number of international consultancy
reports, there is no special regulation for value added tax for
wind turbines or electricity production from wind turbines in
Denmark. Denmark has a single rate 25% VAT system with an exceptional
zero rating only for newspapers and shipbuilding above 5 DWT.
(Most
of the erroneous reports seem to be quoting an erroneous report
from Bond Pearce in the UK, financed by the European Union).
Limitation
on Private Ownership
The private (non-power company) ownership of wind turbines in
Denmark is limited by regulations in the executive order on national
grid connection rules, requiring that members of wind co-operatives
be resident in the municipality where the wind turbine is located,
or in a neighbouring municipality. [5] Municipalities make exceptions
for individual wind turbine projects, but exceptions are fairly
rare.
The
regulation also limits the number of shares residents may own
in a wind turbine co-operative to an annual production of 30,000
kWh per (adult) person, corresponding to a total investment of
some 120,000 DKK (17,000 USD).
These
restrictions were allegedly made "to prevent the misuse
of Government support schemes for wind energy" (quote from
the Minister for Energy and the Environment in Parliament), but
the basic political aims are probably to preserve local ownership
of the exploitation of a natural resource, much like it is practised
in Danish agricultural legislation which requires that farm owners
be resident on their farm.
Individuals
may own one wind turbine located on the same property on which
they are resident (no size limit). The ownership of a complete
wind turbine and co-operative shares are mutually exclusive.
The
quantitative restrictions on independent power production were
likely imposed as a result of visibly strong political pressure
from power companies.
Market
Size
The total installed base of wind power was some 1,100 MW at the
end of 1997, making Denmark the third largest wind power country
in the world after Germany and the USA. Almost 300 MW were installed
in 1997, making it another record year for installation of wind
power (with 200 MW and 98 MW in the two previous years).
Turbine
and Component Suppliers
All of Denmark's 5,000 wind turbines (mid 1998) have been manufactured
domestically. Denmark hosts five of the world's ten largest wind
turbine suppliers: NEG-Micon, Vestas Wind Systems, Bonus Energy,
Nordex, and Wind World (DATA TABLE PLEASE). The first
three companies account for more than 50 per cent of world production
of wind turbines measured in MW. Most of these companies have
a background in agricultural machinery manufacturing, with the
exception of Wind World which was founded on gearbox and marine
technology manufacturing.
Competition
in the Danish market is definitely the toughest in the world,
making the market rather uninteresting to foreign turbine suppliers.
Another problem facing some foreign suppliers may be the very
stringent safety regulations which e.g. require two independent
failsafe braking systems on turbines, one of which must be aerodynamic,
or providing equivalent safety.
The
Danish component industry includes LM Glasfiber, which is the
world's largest rotor blade manufacturer, with an employment
of more than 1,000. Danish manufacturers of electronic wind turbine
controllers likewise have a very large market share world wide.
Other component manufacturers include suppliers of braking systems,
hydraulics, etc.
Employment
Denmark is home to 60 per cent of the world's wind turbine manufacturing
capacity. Presently about 2/3 of production is exported. The
Danish wind turbine manufacturers presently employ some 2,200
persons, in Denmark, while domestic component and service suppliers
employ another 10,000 people (1997).
In
addition, another 4,000 - 5,000 jobs are created abroad through
deliveries of components, and installation of Danish turbines.
These figures do not include assembly work etc. done in foreign
subsidiaries or licensees of Danish firms.
Export
Policy
Contrary to popular belief (or wishful thinking) among the Danish
manufacturers' foreign competitors (who tend to use it as a tool
to lobby their politicians), there is not, and there has never
been any official export policy or financial schemes to favour
the exports of Danish wind turbines. Denmark does not have any
scheme similar to e.g. the German Eldorado programme.
A
small number of Danish turbines were exported to India and China
under the normal development aid programmes, and proved to be
important for future market development, but there is, in fact,
no official Government policy in this respect.
Lately,
a number of turbines to China have been partly financed through
soft loan schemes in accordance with OECD rules, but interestingly,
Denmark was approximately 15 years later than e.g. the U.S. The
U.K., Sweden, and Germany in implementing a generalised soft
loan scheme for exports to middle income developing countries.
The
Home Market's Role in Industry Development
The Danish home market is what created the modern Danish wind
industry originally, and gave it the testing ground to sort out
both wind technology and manufacturing technology, including
the important issue of quality control.
When
the Great California Wind Rush started in the early 1980s, the
Danish companies were practically the only ones in the world
with a substantial track record. The result was that investors
tended to prefer Danish machines, which in the end made up around
half of the capacity installed in California. The importance
of the learning process within the major Danish manufacturing
companies from manufacturing thousands of machines for the California
market cannot be overestimated.
The
Danish Concept
The track record of the early Danish machines in California has
in general been better than those of the competitors, leading
to yet another track record advantage. The result is, that the
so called "Danish Concept" in its newer and more refined
versions today dominates the international wind turbine market
more than ever, despite occasional revolutionary technology predictionsin
the press.
The
last company manufacturing vertical axis machines (Flowind) went
bankrupt in 1998, and manufacturers who used to stick firmly
to a two bladed concept (WEG, Nedwind and Lagerwey) have all
launched new three bladed designs.
As
matters stand at the time of writing, it appears that the "Danish
Concept" consisting of a three bladed upwind design with
fixed speed operation and direct grid connection rules about
75 to 80 per cent of the market. [23] This design dominance resembles
the status of the 4 stroke petrol engine which has actually been
around since 1856.
Whether
other designs (full variable speed operation, indirect grid connection)
will penetrate the market is largely a matter of component costs,
in particular the costs of power electronics. There is, of course,
a bit of circularity in this argument: Costs will decline with
large scale manufacturing, so nothing is given about future technology
in this area. It seems likely however, that the present basic
design will dominate the market well into the next century.
Can
the Danish Industrial Success be Replicated?
The Danish success in wind energy is not easy to replicate elsewhere,
and certainly not with the same means. Technology development
is different today, markets and competition are different, and
in some sense the Danes were fortunate enough to be in the right
place at the right time with the right concept.
Starting
from scratch is much more difficult today, when the largest market
segments have tougher competition, with a more mature and reliable
technology. The same market segment requires large machines with
larger capital requirement and higher development risks. Furthermore,
there currently are no fundamentally revolutionary turbine technology
concepts in sight, i.e. demonstrably economically superior technologies,
although there are many options for further development and cost
cutting within the major variants of present technology. [24]
Manufacturers
in several countries have chosen to link up with Danish manufacturers
in a variety of joint ventures. This coupling has included significant
technology transfer to local companies, and developed local manufacturing.
Most of the licensees have a machinery and equipment manufacturing
background. The primary advantages of a technology link to an
existing manufacturer is to acquire proven technology, and the
possibility of being able to offer a more complete and continuously
optimised model range.
Origin
and Mainstay of the Market: Private Citizens
Denmark is somewhat unique among wind turbine markets, since
the market really grew out of a popular interest in alternative
generating technologies, partly in opposition to the use of nuclear
power, partly as a result of the energy supply crisis in the
late 1970s, when oil prices skyrocketed due to OPEC action and
political and military unrest in the Middle East.
Private
individuals, either as members of wind energy co-operatives,
or as whole owners of a wind turbine (farmers) account for about
80 per cent of installed wind power capacity in Denmark. (Almost
900 out of 1100 MW of installed wind power capacity at the end
of 1997). 100,000 families in Denmark own shares in a local wind
turbine, and almost 2,000 wind turbines are owned by individuals.
Wind
co-operatives are organised as unlimited partnerships, but since
the turbine and its installation is usually completely paid up,
partnerships have no loans and no (joint) risk in this respect.
The
Benefits of Thorough Statistical Coverage
Wind turbine owners are highly organised in the Danish Wind Turbine
Owners' Association which publishes a monthly magazine giving
production figures and notes on technical failures for more than
1,500 turbines. This excellent statistical data base, plus user
groups, and technical consultancy services for members has been
a very important instrument to ensure a transparent market with
tough competition between manufacturers.
Turbines
are usually sold with 5 years guaranteed production (insured
with insurance companies). This makes all manufacturers keen
on not overstating expected production, as this would bounce
back in the form of a higher risk premium for that particular
brand from insurance companies.
The
Role of Publicly Financed R&D
In stark contrast to Germany, Sweden, the USA, Canada, and the
UK, publicly financed R&D projects played a relatively minor
role in initiating the early development of the Danish wind turbine
industry. [25] The early stimulus came in the form of investment
grants, supporting market development for small scale privately
owned turbines, (5 to 11 kW) which typically covered their owner's
annual electricity consumption, by a factor of 2 to 4.
Later,
the Danish Government and the European Union have financed a
significant number of basic research projects, and given some
support to development projects. It is estimated that a staff
of about 60-80 people in Denmark (including both researchers
and administrative staff) work on (partly) publicly financed
R&D. Danish wind turbine manufacturers have a staff of about
100 people working on technology development. Total public support
for this work is below 2 million USD/year.
Type
Approval Requirements
In the late 1970s Risoe National laboratory (whose original task
was nuclear research) was charged with type approval of wind
turbines which could be installed with public investment grants.
The type approval process was extremely useful for weeding out
low quality and potentially dangerous products, and put a pressure
on manufacturers to upgrade their design and manufacturing skills.
[22, 25]
Risoe's
very strict safety requirements, its demands for physical testing
of rotor blades, and conservative norms for load calculations,
indirectly saved the core Danish manufacturers from the fate
of many foreign competitors whose turbines collapsed in these
early days. The result was very sturdy and stable, but rather
heavy machines. (The potential for weight saving has in fact
been so large, that Danish wind turbines have shed half their
weight per kW power installed during the past 5-10 years, despite
a 50 per cent growth in their physical size).
The
Role of Risoe National Laboratory and Others
Risoe has since the early eighties evolved to become probably
the foremost international research institute on basic research
in wind turbine technology and wind resource assessment.
A
much smaller, complementary Institute of Fluid Dynamics developed
at the Danish Technical University. Its parallel development
of turbine design software has served as a commercial tool in
many companies, and as an important tool to ensure mutual verification
of its own and Risoe's methods of aeroelastic analysis.
The
Role of Power Companies in R&D
Danish power companies played a pioneering role in the early
technology development of wind energy. When the Danish Government
instituted a publicly financed wind energy research programme
in the mid 1970s, the power companies once again became involved
in wind power research, concentrating on relatively large machines
for their time (630 kW), and building two experimental wind turbines
near the town of Nibe around 1979 (one pitch, one stall controlled).
These machines were finally closed down in 1997. In the early
1980s another group of five 750 kW machines were built, and during
the 1990s another two experimental machines of 1 and 2 MW were
built.
The
primary aim of these ventures appeared to be the training and
development of in-house wind energy expertise in the power companies,
rather than aiming at commercially relevant equipment.
Is
the Danish Market System an Economic Success?
The Danish market system for wind energy has been a popular success,
in regard to the public's possibility of direct involvement in
energy policy.
The
power company share of the market (determined by Government orders
to power companies) has worked reasonably well, except for the
fact that power companies have been threeyears behind schedule
in fulfilling their obligations (with no consequences for them)
.
The
refund of 0.10 DKK/kWh (0.014 USD/kWh) for power companies has
apparently been based mostly on political considerations of the
name "CO2 levy" which was a convenient amount to refund.
Since then SO2 taxes have been implemented without any talk of
a similar refund to wind. Today the 0.10 DKK/kWh roughly compensates
for the difference in average generating costs between wind and
fossil fuel plant.
Rationing
Gives Questionable Market Efficiency
The Danish wind energy support system has lately come under political
attack for being too generous to private wind turbine owners,
and conversely unnecessarily expensive in terms of energy tax
refunds. The attack has been justified by reference to the capital
gains (land rents) for windy sites.
The
timing of the attack is directly related to the discovery of
the regulatory loophole described above, which created a record
boom in turbine investment in Denmark. (The boom was reinforced
by the fact that the authorities by accident warned about a change
in regulations beforehand, thus creating a virtual "buying
panic before closing time").
This
has been a clear demonstration of the fact that the "segregation
policy" which had effectively excluded anyone but farmers
from owning their own wind turbine, had the effect of keeping
less risk averse (and more bankable) investors out of the market,
and of keeping yield requirements (on the windiest sites) higher
than necessary.
Likewise,
the apparently acceptable price differential between negotiable
shares in wind co-operatives and non-negotiable shares gives
an indication of the liquidity premium paid for the "localness"
of wind turbine ownership.
References
[1] Ib Troen and Erik Lundtang Petersen, 1989, European Wind
Atlas.
[2] Elselskabernes og Energistyrelsens Arbejdsgruppe for havvindmøller,
1997, Havmølle-handlingsplan for de danske farvande.
[3] Energi & Environmental Data, (Quarterly), Vindstat.
[4] Landsplanafdelingen, Miljøministeriet, 1994, Vindmøller
i kommuneplanlægningen.
[5] Bekendtgørelse nr. 1148 af 13. December 1996 om
vindmøllers tilslutning til elnettet.
[6] Danish Wind Turbine Manufacturers Association, 1998, Danish
Wind Energy, 4th Quarter 1997, WindPower Note no. 17.
[7] Mijø & Energiministeriet,1995, Danmarks Energifremtider.
[8] Miljø & Energiministeriet, 1996, Energy 21,
The Danish Government's Action Plan for Energy 1996.
[9] Energiministeriet, 1988, Energi 2000.
[10] Bekendtgørelse nt. 108 af 23. Marts 1977 om driftsmæssige
afskrivninger og henlæggelser mv. I elforsyningsvirksomheder.
[11] Danish Wind Turbine Manufacturers Association, 1996,
Er 10 og 27 Lige? Offentlige finanser og vindkraft, 1996, WindPower
Note no. 7.
[12] ELTRA, 1998, Udkast til tarifblade.
[13] Miljø- og Energiministerioet, 1994, Cirkulære
for planlægning for vindmøller af 28. Januar 1994.
[14] Energistyrelsen, 1997, Kommunernes vindmøllepalnlægning.
Status januar '97.
[15] Andreas Wagner, 1998, Bundesverband Wind Energie, personal
communication.
[16] Energiministeriet, 1991, Vindkort over Danmark.
[17] Vindmølleindustrien, 1994, Perspektiv 2004.
[18] Danish Wind Turbine Manufacturers Association, 1996,
Employment in the Wind Power Industry, WindPower Note no. 2.
[19] Jesper Munksgaard, Mogens R. Pedersen, Jørgen
Rahbæk Pedersen, 1995, Samfundsmæssig værdi
af vindkraft, AKF Rapport.
[20] Calculation made by the Danish Wind Turbine Manufacturers
Association on the basis of data from Energi & Miljødata,
(quarterly magazine, 1998).
[21] Rambøll for Energimiljørådet, 1998,
Undersøgelse af støtte til vedvarende energi, Copenhagen.
[22] Per Dannemand Andersen, 1993, En analyse af den teknologiske
innovation I dansk vindmølleindustri, Handelshøjskolen
I København.
[23] BTM Consult ApS, 1998, International Wind Energy Development,
World Market Update & Forecast 1998-2002, Ringkøbing.
[24] Peter Hjuler Jensen & Per Dannemand Andersen, 1997,
Wind Turbine Technology in the 21st Century, Proceedings of the
EWEC '97 Conference in Dublin (not yet published).
[25] Peter Karnøe, 1991, Dansk Vindmølleindustri,
en overraskende international succes, Samfundslitteratur, Copenhagen.
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